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Midwest corn planting to see planting delays. Comparisons to 1993
The near historical Midwest flooding and snow melt has offered a glimmer of hope to farmers and grain traders, that perhaps the corn market would bottom and head higher this spring. However, great South American weather, combined with large corn...
More huge snows coming to western ski areas. Solar cycles, Global Warming and El Nino.
There has been much discussion about the incredibly snowy ski season out west, the end of the California drought and potential for severely cold United States winters ahead the next few years due to an extended, upcoming "solar minimum." However,...
Coffee prices hit 13 year low on good Brazil weather and big exports
There are some theories by meteorologists and commodity traders that El Nino can reduce Brazil and other producing countries' coffee production resulting in a surge in prices. However, if this season was any indication, this has been far from the...
Historical Midwest floods: Impacts on agriculture. What is causing it? El Nino or low sunspots?
Thousands of livestock killed and millions of acres flooded in the Midwest and Plain States poses a multi-billion dollar threat to agriculture and other industries. This comes at the worst possible time given the Trump Administration's trade tariff...
Record western snows and severe tornado outbreaks. The causes of such volatile weather and what early spring may portend.
Probably the biggest blessing from the winter weather extremes experienced coast to coast this winter, is the end of multi-year California drought. This will go a long way to replenishing California water reserves, critical to farming and many...
SOI index tanks, suggesting short-term El Nino conditions but why are many ag commodity prices tanking?
The picture of El Nino type conditions (above) illustrates the falling atmospheric pressures close to Peru and rising surface pressures around Australia. For there to be a full fledged El Nino, these conditions must exist consistently for several...
Angular Momentum–What is it? Why a weak El Nino signal eased the N. Brazil drought and brought tons of snow to western U.S. ski areas
The information below is a combination of my comments, 35 years of experience forecasting the weather for various U.S. ski areas and excerpts from Tony Crocker's informative ski site: bestsnow.net. CORRELATION BETWEEN EL NINO EVENTS AND SKI...
Antarctica is melting three times as fast, compared to a decade ago
New research seems to be coming out all the time about Greenland and Antarctica seeing more rapid melting. Yes, there are occasional intrusions of cold weather, as seen this week across the Midwest and East (Polar Vortex), but when 90% of all...
El Nino lowered from “likely” to only a “watch”
Huge waves off the California coast; developing dryness for Brazil soybeans and coffee; heavy rains in Argentina following a La Nina type drought a year ago and Australia seeing some of the worst water shortages in over 40 years. These are normally...
Here comes the Polar Vortex
The unusual warm start to winter has been due in part to the progression of a weather phenomenon we call the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO). The map below shows the forecasted movement of the MJO from mid December and one key reason the U.S....
What happened to the cold U.S. winter, while Brazil dryness grows for crops?
Back in October, we began exploring the relationship between historically wet eastern United States summers and falls , as well as what we felt would be a very weak El Nino event, plus analog years from our proprietary in house long range weather...
Hurricanes and Sea Level Rise–Sarasota Jan 25th Climate Change Conference
Last spring, I put out a weather forecast, that I felt that the 2018 hurricane season would be less active than usual. One main reason for this forecast was due to model predictions that El Nino would form, which normally shears out tropical...
The parade of storms creating high surf, wind and heavy rains from California to Florida
While hurricane Irma did billions of dollars of damage to Florida a year ago, the coastal areas around Sarasota to Tampa faired far better than initially feared. Worries of billions of dollars of real estate losses around Longboat Key and many...
Crude Oil Collapse, Possible Recession, and Our Nation’s Debt Clock
We produced this item on Dec. 7, 2018 - Jim Roemer Our blogs are almost entirely weather related, discussing commodities and how weather can affect everything from natural gas to coffee, cocoa and the grain market. However, we occasionally cover...
Cocoa prices collapse on big west African production but could an El Nino type Harmattan jump start prices?
The charts above show a main reason cocoa prices have collapsed--another big production year and ideal weather in countries such as Ivory Coast. But what about the Harmattan Wind? Is there any chance for a rally in cocoa prices. ...
The EPO index, natural gas prices, lower global cotton crops, Trade War Truce?
Given the fact that increased OPEC oil production, additional Russian military threats in the Ukraine and the Trade War chess game have been impacting grain, cotton and oil markets for months, natural gas prices have been subjected almost entirely...
A very cold U.S. winter, but that does not change the longer term prospects of Climate Change
A cold winter is on tap for the United States, but that does not mitigate the long-term effects of a warming planet, rising sea levels, and the destruction of reefs around the globe. While China and other countries are taking measures to adapt to...
What will this winter be like and how will stocks, commodities and travel be affected?
There are hedge funds, which are in deep trouble or have gone out of business this month, in part due to the huge volatility in both natural gas and crude oil Natural gas stocks are some 17% below a year ago, and we began telling paid clients in...
