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USDA throws major shocker to corn, soybeans, and cotton market
I got a bunch of slack this summer as to why (for the first time in years) that I missed the major move in corn and soybeans. For three summers in a row (2023, 2024, 2025) I was bearish corn and soybeans on my early prediction of a good US crop....
Potential impacts of Hurricane Isaias & quick summary of recent detailed reports about grains
Markets are open for the holiday on Monday. My mistake. My next update will be on Monday. Short-term, a bullish impact for the natural gas and crude oil markets, are likely, but it shouldn't be a big deal for natural gas. Mainly, it's a...
Quick update on recent trade ideas
Ahead 10% to 35% long the sugar ETF (Cane) and my highest-confidence trade in the last few months. Maintain at least a small long position. I see no problem taking profits on 1/2 your positions again, but feel we could see 23-25 cents later this...
Corn & Soybeans: Lessons from past October crop reports & South American weather discussion
In this report: How global weather is affecting multiple commodities What the Friday USDA report may say for corn and soybeans Soybeans may have the better bullish setup, but strong El Niño events do not guarantee higher prices My current present...
Sugar: Our #1 highest-confidence bullish trade for weeks: Now Thailand gets into the action
The ETF (CANE) is now up a whopping 30% since my recommendation. March sugar futures made new highs today and have rallied over $5,000 per contract. The other high-confidence trade was selling July KC wheat 2-3 weeks ago and booking close...
Cotton’s Bull Hope, Sugar’s Spike, and Improved Midwest Grain Harvest Weather
Introduction: I have been working on this report for several days. Once again, it is very in-depth. Please click on the weather Spider to hear more about A) My recent big call on bullish sugar; B) New wet weather woes developing for Southern Brazil...
Trade ideas and weather update for commodities
#1 recent highest-confidence trades--Long sugar for months Without question, long sugar and the ETF (CANE), which is up 7-27% since my recommendations. I advised buying sugar back in April or May on my ideas of A) Reduction in the Western European...
Did the weak Indian Monsoon add to the collapse in silver prices, and which crops are being adversely affected?
10:05 a.m. EDT, Thursday My next report will be on Monday a.m. EDT In this report: Introduction: The Indian Monsoon and which commodities it is affecting the most How India's monsoon gets into the silver market Near-term bearish factors for silver...
Coffee Market Soars on Brazil Weather Concerns
Later Thursday evening or early Friday a.m. EDT. I will have an update on the following: Why cotton prices collapsed, My overall bearish view on silver from two months ago, A quick update about Midwest corn and soybean harvest weather, and... New...
(Part 2): Silver price collapse, a toppy grain market & updated Midwest corn and soybean harvest weather
I have many Midwestern farm clients and grain traders. A few of you have asked me about Corn Belt weather. In a week or two, I will discuss South American grain weather. I can't answer every question immediately, and it takes me a lot of time to...
The Grain Gauge, Weak Indian Monsoon plus Texas Cotton and Sugar Cane Risks
4:30 p.m., Sunday, EDT This is the fourth or fifth report I have sent out since last Wednesday. Normally, I send two reports per week, and I've done that for the last 7 years. This all changed for me. Why am I sending so many out? 1)Because of El...
World’s Weather & Commodity Markets Going Wild: Roemer Summary
These are the most number of reports in one week I have ever done for WeatherWealth. With a super El Niño and political stuff going on, as usual. Right now, I'm going out of my mind covering 10 markets and watching 7 different major weather events....
Drought easing in Plains wheat areas, no new grain trade Agreement with China, big storm for the U.S. Northeast.
As I have mentioned "many times in the last two months.", I have NOT wanted to play the game of geopolitics, the Iran-US war, or make guesses as to what President XI of China would guarantee to Trump, etc. Indeed, Euronext corn futures soaring (my...
El Niño’s Plot Twist: Forget the Drought—Now It’s the Water
From a hurricane near Hawaii and a major East Coast Nor’easter to soaking rains in the Plains and Brazil, excessive moisture is becoming the new weather story for commodity markets. It will even turn a bit too wet for the corn and soybean harvest in much of Iowa, parts of Illinois, Nebraska, Minnesota and Missouri next week.
Northern Brazil crop risks, plus quick comments about cocoa, cotton, natural gas, and grains
5 a.m., EDT, Thursday Quick comment about grains & other comments I have had several questions about the grain markets, Midwest harvest weather, trade ideas, and what El Niño means for South American production. I will address some of this for...
Drought easing rains for Plains wheat planting, new crop problems for global sugar crops & highest confidence trades
My next update will be late Thursday. I will discuss corn belt weather that has been too wet in some areas and update on a few other commodities. In the meantime, corn and soybeans soared once again on Monday on hopes of an Agreement with President...
Crop Weather Update and Trade Ideas
My next update will probably be sometime on Wednesday or very early Thursday a. m. EDT Here are some of the important global commodity weather developments See the image at the top of the page. A couple of other weather notes regarding Australia...
From El Niño Euphoria to Commodity Sell-Off: A Lesson in Risk Management
3 p.m. EDT, Sunday, Sept. 20th. Next report sometime Wednesday or, more likely, early Thursday In this report: Introduction: El Niño can start the trade--but risk management tells you when to get out Four other factors can eventually overwhelm...
