Hurricane Beryl, Climate Risk & Where Weather Extremes Are Affecting Commodities

Hurricane Beryl, Climate Risk & Where Weather Extremes Are Affecting Commodities

This video below talks about the following from July 5th:

How Hurricane Beryl may affect commodity markets (this is old news now)

Why it has been coffee most adversely affected by a warming planet

The potential for a bull market in grains later? Possibly, but our overall bias for weeks has been “against the crowd” predicting doom and gloom for U.S. grain crops. For now, the delay of La Niña has prevented any major widespread weather problems for corn and soybeans, other than a few isolated areas

Why traders were wrong being bullish natural gas over $3.00 a few weeks ago

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Update on Hurricane Ian: Strongest Storm In More Than 100 Years For Southwest Florida

Update on Hurricane Ian: Strongest Storm In More Than 100 Years For Southwest Florida

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This video talks about how the loop current close to Florida and La Nina continuing much more than other meteorologists felt months ago, has strengthened Hurricane Ian close to a category 5 hurricane: one of the strongest if not the strongest hurricanes ever for SW Florida. The storm will likely hit close to Venice, give or take 10 miles.

Winds of at least 100-110 MPH will be felt for several hours this afternoon from Sarasota to Fort Charlotte and Venice, unless Ian weakens. We are hoping the most catastrophic winds hit just south of Sarasota and Long Boat Key.

The video also shows a dry tongue to the west of Ian and shear. The big question is, will this weaken Ian before it hits landfall? Due to the warm loop current, it may not (tough forecast)

Potential Major Hurricane Ian: Sarasota Legends and A Comparision of Hurricane Charlie & Hurricane Irma

Potential Major Hurricane Ian: Sarasota Legends and A Comparision of Hurricane Charlie & Hurricane Irma

This video talks about what I feared quite early on September 19th, unfortunately: A potentially major hurricane Ian for the west coast of Florida. However, I have seen many times before weather models are wrong, and if Ian develops just west of Cuba that could spare Florida and move Ian closer to the coast of eastern Louisiana to the Panhandle of Florida.

It also talks about the old myths about how Indians protected Sarasota from a major hurricane; one reason why John Ringling settled in Sarasota.

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