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The BestWeather Spider is considered a reliable tool for commodity traders because it integrates advanced weather forecasting (including factors like El Niño, La Niña, and the Indian Ocean Dipole) with market analysis to anticipate how weather events will impact commodity prices.
Screenshot
Jim Roemer’s approach uses both meteorological data and market fundamentals, providing actionable insights that help traders and farmers make informed decisions in volatile markets.The Spider’s recommendations are regularly updated in the WeatherWealth newsletter, which further enhances its reliability through continuous analysis and expert commentary.
Jim Roemer’s BestWeather Commodity Spider is a proprietary tool that combines weather analysis, technical analysis, and other market fundamentals to help commodity traders anticipate price movements in markets like grains, energy, and soft commodities. The Spider provides actionable insights by showing how weather patterns and forecasts may impact specific commodities, giving both experienced and novice traders an edge in making informed trading decisions. It is part of the broader suite of services offered by Best Weather Inc., which includes newsletters and reports with trade recommendations based on meteorological data and market analysis.
Jim Roemer’s BestWeather Commodity Spider predicts market moves by integrating several key factors:
Weather analysis: It assesses global weather patterns—such as El Niño, La Niña, droughts, and temperature anomalies—that can impact crop yields and energy demand
Technical analysis: The Spider incorporates chart patterns and market signals to identify trends or reversals in commodity prices.
Market fundamentals: It evaluates supply and demand factors, currency movements, and geopolitical events that influence commodity markets
Market psychology: The tool interprets trader sentiment and behavioral patterns to anticipate potential market reactions.
By combining these elements, the Spider provides actionable insights and trade ideas for commodities like grains, energy, coffee, and cocoa, helping traders anticipate and respond to market shifts
by Jim Roemer – Meteorologist – Commodity Trading Advisor – Principal, Best Weather Inc. & Climate Predict – Publisher, Weather Wealth Newsletter
Scott Mathews, Editor
Weekend Report – May 9-11, 2025
Source: Screenshot by Climate Predict LLC – superimposed comments and markers by BestWeather – insert of Pacific Walker Circulation image by NOAA
While the grain futures have been mostly in a bear market, even with a weaker dollar, commodities from gold to cocoa and coffee continue in bull trends. Canola prices have really been perking up.
Potentially, there is a global weather problem as the drought in China is beginning to affect some crops in parts of southern Australia.
Below, I discuss how weather and the El Niño neutral stage (neither El Niño or La Niña) is affecting every commodity from wheat to ideal Midwest corn belt weather, previous crop problems in West African cocoa and why global sugar weather is improving. How about natural gas and a possible hot summer?
As a WeatherWealth newsletter subscriber, not only do you receive trading ideas, but you also see much more accurate weather information as we “second guess” standard weather models by looking at these 28 global weather teleconnections for all Ag and natural gas commodities.
—Enjoy Jim Roemer
Source: map by USDA
– commentary and indicator arrows added by BestWeather
Source: price graph by Barchart.com
– indicator arrow and superimposed wording by BestWeather
Source: screenshot by Climate Predict LLC
Source: screenshot by Climate Predict LLC with comments and indicator arrows superimposed by BestWeather
Source: map by Agri-Food Canada (a national information service)
Source: maps by stormvistawxmodels.com – used by permission- superimposed comment and indicator arrow by BestWeather
Source: map by WeatherBELL – used by permission
Sources: three screenshots above by Climate Predict LLC
– superimposed comments and indicator arrows by BestWeather
– antarctic polar projection map insert by NOAA, with superimposed markers by BestWeather
Source: maps by USDA, with indicator arrow superimposed by BestWeather
Source: map by WeatherBELL – used by permission
Source: maps by NOAA with superimposed labels and comments by BestWeather
Source: map by NOAA with superimposed arrow indicator by BestWeather
Sources: seasonality table by MRCI (used by permission), with superimposed elements by BestWeather- Map by stormvistawxmodels.com – used by permission – comments and indicators by BestWeather
Source: BestWeather Spider – royalty free natural gas flair photo by pexels.com
Artwork created via AI software DALL-E 3 and is the property of BestWeather
Thanks for your interest in commodity weather!!!
Mr. Roemer owns Best Weather Inc., offering weather-related blogs for commodity traders and farmers. He also is a co-founder of Climate Predict LLC, a detailed long-range global weather forecast tool. As one of the first meteorologists to become an NFA registered Commodity Trading Advisor, he has worked with major hedge funds, Midwest farmers, and individual traders for over 35 years. With a special emphasis on interpreting market psychology, coupled with his short and long-term trend forecasting in grains, softs, and the energy markets, he commands a unique standing among advisors in the commodity risk management industry.
This article contains syndicated content. We have not reviewed, approved, or endorsed the content, and may receive compensation for placement of the content on this site. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
This video addresses why feet of snow will affect the Northeast and New England for the next two weeks and why a cold mid-winter could last into March for the northern half to two-thirds of the Midwest and eastern U.S.
Click below to learn about A) The Polar Vortex; B) The positive SOI and weak La Niña signal; C) Why skiing in the Northeast and New England will have the best mid-late February conditions in a decade
Several times a year, we offer farmers and commodity traders on six continents a free issue of WeatherWealth: The only global commodity weather newsletter that focuses strictly on the weather with specific trading ideas in commodity options, futures, and ETFs.
Some of our best calls over the last two years were predicting mostly big global crops for grains and the resulting bear markets. The stronger dollar and worries over demand from China have also impacted prices adversely. La Niña did not form last summer, as I predicted it wouldn’t. This helped set the stage for a record corn and soybean crop. But, what about now?
Will a La Nada or La Niña be present when we move into 2025?Could a bull market in grains eventually form?
The biggest bull weather markets over the last 2 years have been in cocoa and coffee brought on by Climate Change, deforestation, and a previous El Niño.
In the last three winters, a trader could have sold natural gas in December and potentially gain at least 20-35% on his/her money by March. Almost every winter of the last 5 years has been warmer than normal. What about now?
Our latest newsletter (download on top of the page) discusses the following:
1) The difference between an El Niño neutral (La Nada) and La Niña
2) How winter weather could be affected by both
3) What are the MJO index, and a negative PDO index?
4) How record-warm global temperatures could offset a potential cold signal for U.S. natural gas heating demand areas
5) What will it take for the Midwest grain areas and Plains wheat to have hot, dry weather next summer?
6) Why soybean prices may remain in a downward trend
7) How Climate Change has caused an explosion in cocoa prices
8) A discussion of the volatile coffee market and the impact of recent drought stress in Brazil
9) Australian crop weather
10) La Niña and a look at historical sugar prices
11) Trading ideas in commodities, and…
12) …Much more
Enjoy,
T H A N K S F O R Y O U R I N T E R E S T I N C O M M O D I T Y W E A T H E R !!!
1) What is the Western Pacific Warm Pool and why it has delayed La Niña
2) How the 2022 Tonga volcanoes may have contributed to the western Pacific warming
3) How our computer program www.climatepredict.com forecasted a warm autumn that has pressured natural gas prices
(available to subscribers to our newsletter WeatherWealth)
4) An historical look at why natural gas prices have fallen in four out of the last five consecutive autumn-to-early-winter periods.
Given the record warm oceans and Gulf of Mexico, a tropical storm or hurricane is not out of the realm of possibilities for November 7th-8th.
Sign up for a two-week free trial period to WeatherWealth and you can see our recent trading strategies for coffee, sugar, grains, and more and how to potentially trade these markets in the future.
Jim Roemer, Scott Mathews, and The Weather Wealth Team
Mr. Roemer owns Best Weather Inc., offering weather-related blogs for commodity traders and farmers. He also is a co-founder of Climate Predict, a detailed long-range global weather forecast tool. As one of the first meteorologists to become an NFA registered Commodity Trading Advisor, he has worked with major hedge funds, Midwest farmers, and individual traders for over 35 years. With a special emphasis on interpreting market psychology, coupled with his short and long-term trend forecasting in grains, softs, and the energy markets, he established a unique standing among advisors in the commodity risk management industry.
On the date of publication, Jim Roemer did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
By Jim Roemer – Meteorologist – Commodity Trading Advisor – Principal, Best Weather Inc. & Climate Predict – Publisher, Weather Wealth Newsletter
MidWeek Report – August 28, 2024
The short answer to whether or not we see a major bull market in natural gas due to a category 4-5 hurricane in the Gulf is NO… At least for now and the next few weeks. However, natural gas prices are likely oversold with U.S. production coming down later on.
Our WeatherWealth newsletter has advised energy traders that huge U.S. supplies, a recent bearish EIA due to cool weather last week, and our prediction that La Niña would be delayed, was NOT a bullish aspect for the natural gas market. At these prices, however, it is a bit too risky to become that aggressive and go short the market. Remember, however, nothing it too cheap or expensive in commodities!
Something is brewing in the tropics, but due to something we call the MJO index, combined with African dust, any major Gulf hurricane is not likely for now.
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Natural gas prices have collapsed more than 30¢ since we suggested, two weeks ago, that prices would not get above the chart line shown above.
What to do now in natural gas? Could we have a major hurricane later this fall? What about winter and how we out-forecast standard weather models that too many people believe?
Jim Roemer, Scott Mathews, and The Weather Wealth Team
Mr. Roemer owns Best Weather Inc., offering weather-related blogs for commodity traders and farmers. He also is a co-founder of Climate Predict, a detailed long-range global weather forecast tool. As one of the first meteorologists to become an NFA registered Commodity Trading Advisor, he has worked with major hedge funds, Midwest farmers, and individual traders for over 35 years. With a special emphasis on interpreting market psychology, coupled with his short and long-term trend forecasting in grains, softs, and the energy markets, he established a unique standing among advisors in the commodity risk management industry.
Trading futures and options involve a significant risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
HELPING YOU MAKE THE BEST INVESTMENT DECISIONS BASED ON THE WEATHER
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