China may be smiling about the truce in the trade war, but heavy rains may produce frowns for cotton growers.

Cotton has been the only consistent bull market in agricultural commodities for more than 6 months. This was brought on by global economic growth, stronger demand and lower production expectations....

Australia’s growing drought and new research about Climate Change vs. historical cycles

SOURCE- Gary Saucer-Thompson/Flickr There is no place on earth that has witnessed the perils of Climate Change, worse than Australia. In the last 5 years there have been several summers during which...

Brazil’s October drought and ‘citrus greening’ help orange juice prices soar

Orange juice futures are one of the most volatile commodity markets. "OJ" contracts are also quite illiquid. The chart below shows a 23% price increase since the end of March. This up move is in the...

How a weakening La Niña and positive Indian Dipole are creating new worries for global grain crops. Will it last?

Growing weather problems around the globe are adding a bullish spin on grain prices. But questions remain about a weakening La Nina and if May rainfall  will increase in drought stricken areas of...

Why have sugar prices spilled off the table? It’s all about La Niña and high crop yields.

  Historically, sugar price charts show a distinct pattern in response to El Niño and La Niña. The former is often associated with droughts in India and Southeast Asia causing global production...

In the Plains, the rain forecast for drought-stricken parts impacted wheat prices. The crop is still in bad shape, but there may be hope for Texas farmers?

In what has become a “wild” weather market in wheat the last few months, our forecast to clients on April 10th alluded to the likelihood of rains from Kansas to Texas. While freeze and drought...

Freeze adds to drought woes for U.S. wheat as this April is the 5th coolest since 1895. La Niña not dead yet.

La Niña is still hanging on We have been disagreeing with several weather agencies and private firms about the sudden demise of La Niña due to: - Cool waters still extending across the tropical...

What’s behind the 40% move higher in cocoa prices? The top producers fight to protect forests

Cocoa's Bull Move  Cocoa is one of the few agricultural commodities in a  "consistent" bull market during the last few months, rivaled only by cotton, which soared from rising global demand. There...

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