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Revisiting how I predicted a warm winter for the natural gas market & a recent study about El Niño and soybean prices
4 am EST, Wednesday My next full report will be next Monday or Monday evening. I will discuss the South American weather situation again and the grain market. In this report: Disagreeing with the pack: How I forecasted a warm early winter into...
(Video): Why natural gas prices are headed to $2.00 & South American weather grain and coffee market volatility
This report was written early Monday morning but not sent out till Monday evening EDT. Click on my video below https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sb9yja4TVzg This video talks about how we second-guessed models for the natural gas market, 2 weeks...
(VIDEO): Winter weather forecasting techniques and the collapse in natural gas prices
How warming oceans, El Nino and a lack of snow cover in Canada gives us clues for winter weather
Time to take potentially big profits short sugar, soybeans, and natural gas?
Quick update about natural gas, sugar and soybeans
How the MJO, not just El Niño is influencing global commodity weather
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is an eastward-propagating, large-scale atmospheric circulation pattern observed in the tropics, particularly over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. It is characterized by alternating phases of enhanced and...
The Climatic Factors Fighting for Control of Global Commodities
A detailed report about the climatic factors affecting Brazil commodities, West African cocoa and the natural gas market
Will the bullish move in cocoa run its course? Brazil heat helps coffee/corn rally & preview of upcoming reports
Brief update about the Brazil heat and recent market ideas
(Video): How to use my Weather Spiders to trade, South American weather update & what’s driving soybean, coffee futures and more
This video talks about South American weather for coffee, soybeans and corn, the explosion in cocoa prices and how to use my BestWeather spiders
What is the NAO index and how can it influence winter weather for the energy markets
This video by Jim Roemer talks about the importance in monitoring the NAO index for winter weather extremes and the energy markets
Trailing Stop-Loss Orders: The Key Risk-Management Safety Net for Veteran Commodity Traders & Improved Rainfall Chances for Soybeans and Coffee in Northern Brazil
Friday pm In this report: Trailing stop-loss orders: the key risk-management safety net for veteran commodity traders (see video) The biggest squeeze in commodities: Cocoa A conservative way to trade coffee futures with trailing stops Revisiting an...
Monitoring global weather extremes for soybeans, sugar, cocoa, and coffee and a look at climatological factors
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VyZPLnmkOyQ CLICK ABOVE TO WATCH A SPECIAL VIDEO The video above discusses the weather extremes affecting South America's soybeans, coffee, and sugar crops. Will the chances for rain increase in drought-stricken N....
(VIDEO) Brazil Crop Issues, Flooding to Hit Cocoa Crop, Updated Weather Spiders & Trade Ideas
Special detailed video about El Nino, where the weather problems are in Brazil and other parts of the world for some commodities
Climatic Variables Causing Record Flooding in Southern Brazil and Extreme Heat in the North?
Introduction: These are the climatic factors resulting in incessant rains in southern Brazil, while northern Brazil has record heat: A mix between strong vs. weak El Niño conditions The MJO is moving into phase 2/3 Deforestation of the Brazil...
Commodity Squeezes, Long-Term Soybean Views and El Niño Modoki Could Mean Colder Risks for Natural Gas
Sunday, 4 PM, EST In this report: Trade ideas Introduction to Commodity Squeezes Where are the present commodity squeezes? Which markets have huge supplies and no squeeze? El Niño and longer-term trends for soybean prices Will December be cold for...
Commodity and Weather Summary
Quick summary
An historical look at May soybean prices during different El Niño events
This report talks about weather problems for South American soybeans, and historical price action during El Niño events
What is the MJO? How does it work in conjunction with El Niño to affect commodity markets?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_5sVxwdiRYI In this video (click above), I discuss the MJO index and how we use it as a weather forecasting tool in conjunction with El Niño: Where the MJO will move to, and if it will influence the outcome of...
(VIDEO): How El Nino & MJO are influencing soybean, cocoa, and now energy weather
This video discusses why natural gas prices have bottomed for now and how the MJO and El Nino are causing weather problems for cocoa and soybeans