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A Look At Global Weather For The Wheat Market
The USDA will issue an important grain stocks report on Tuesday. This report discusses our sentiment for world wheat weather as well as the market. Rains in Europe, Ukraine, Australia and more moisture coming for Kansas will likely prevent any major rally in prices for the near future.
The Fake Out Rally In Natural Gas On The Late Season Polar Vortex And Wheat Trade Idea
Snow in New England and a Midwest frost later this week is due to the Polar Vortex heading south. The image on the left is why the United States had one of the warmest winters on records, as the Polar Vortex stayed over the North Pole. Are there implications from this for spring weather and commodities?
Are Oil Price Lows and Covid-19 Bringing Famine?
Oil’s price drop, changing weather patterns, armed conflicts, and COVID-19 may bring the worst humanitarian crisis since World War II by the end of 2020. “[W]e could be facing multiple famines of biblical proportions within a short few...
Polar Vortex, Arctic Ozone Hole Closing, and Impacts For Corn Belt
The polar vortex is finally coming south but may not linger long enough to be a major factor in markets. Nevertheless, some frost/freeze conditions for the corn belt will occur later this week. Does the closing of the record large Ozone Hole have any implications for summer?
Wheat Futures Spread History, Corn Belt Weather, Cocoa, Natural Gas And Coffee
How does one trade the improving weather situation for global wheat in Europe/Ukraine but worsening crop conditions in the US Plains? Find out here and also a recent high confident trade in natural gas.
Ukraine/Europe Wheat Weather Situation and How Climate Predict Out-Forecasted Standard Computer Models
There has been much talk about Ukraine wheat being under great stress from drought. In the map below, one can see the stress regions (red) as of a week ago. However, I have been in the camp for weeks that important rains will be coming to key wheat...
Global Challenges Facing Farmers. Cocoa And Natural Gas Trade Ideas
There have been many firms that were touting drought for Ukraine wheat. Find out the real scoop here and some trade ideas in cocoa and natural gas
Earth Day: Not a Hippie Joke Any More
The news couldn’t be clearer this Earth Day. Fixing environmental issues can’t wait. Africa is facing drought, heavy flooding, and locusts, while Asia has changing rainfall patterns. The western United States and northern Mexico are in a...
The Historic Collapse In Crude Oil And What Will Drive Natural Gas Prices?
Low oil prices are affecting commodities such as corn, soybeans and even the natural gas market. Here is why
Oil Price Tsunami: How It Happened And The Impact on Corn Prices and Renewables
Why Did Oil Prices Go Below $0? The Tsunami in crude oil futures yesteday is one for the record books. Oil did something on Monday that made even market veterans shake their heads in wonder. The soon-to-expire May contract for West Texas...
Oil Prices Hit $12. Wheat Rallies on Russian Export Concerns. Midwest Corn Planting Prospects?
Crude oil prices continue to make new lows as there is no demand, as businesses are shut down around the globe. From a weather perspective, the question traders are asking is how much rain will Russian wheat areas get and what is my outlook for Midwest corn planting?
Rotation Of The Earth Suggests Weak El Niño Conditions Still Exist
Many forecast firms and models suggest La Niña type conditions this summer or fall that would of course have global impacts on many commodities. However, I believe that forecast models have been wrong and too bold predicting cooling ocean...
Weather More Of A Factor For Wheat. A Look At The BestWeather Spider
The sell-off in wheat futures is due, in part, to our forecast for improved weather for both Ukraine and US wheat in the weeks ahead
Weather Driving Wheat Market: Russia
Weather is becoming a key factor in the wheat market. Wheat prices were on a bit of a tear a couple weeks ago, This was due to worries about hoarding bread due to COVID-19. At the same time, Russia was considering cutting off exports. While demand...
What Commodity Traders Will Be Looking At In The Weeks Ahead
Weather will be the driving force in the grain market heading deeper into spring and summer. The cold, dry weather over the Midwest and Plains corn and wheat may be changing deeper into April
Decreased Air Pollution in Himalayas
The Himalayas seen April 4 from Pathankot, in India's Punjab. Photo: Twitter. Residents of northern India can now see the Himalayan snows, almost 100 miles away, thanks to decreased air pollution on the Indian sub-continent. “We can see the...
Cold April Spurs Action In Natural Gas, Crude Oil And Wheat.
The first cold spell in April has spurred short covering in natural gas, as well as of ideas of less shale production due to low crude prices. Could the wheat and corn belt be affected by a cold spring?
What Is The Outlook For Natural Gas Prices In 2020?
Why Jim Roemer Predicted A Warm Winter for Natural Gas Prices Last December One of our most accurate trade ideas this past season was selling natural gas. That warm winter projection was in our forecast for December. WeatherBell, and many other...
