2-WEEK FREE TRIAL + 2 FREE REPORTS
2-WEEK FREE TRIAL + 2 FREE REPORTS
Learn How To Profit From Weather Trends
A Look At Global Wheat Weather and Drought Relief Coming for Parts of Southern Plains
A few weeks ago I saw wheat price spike on ideas that Russia would curb domestic exports, in order to procure enough bread supplies for its citizens in the face of COVID-19. However, this time of the year, weather and crop conditions takes precedence in the wheat...
A Look At Global Weather For The Wheat Market
The USDA will issue an important grain stocks report on Tuesday. This report discusses our sentiment for world wheat weather as well as the market. Rains in Europe, Ukraine, Australia and more moisture coming for Kansas will likely prevent any major rally in prices for the near future.
Are Oil Price Lows and Covid-19 Bringing Famine?
Oil’s price drop, changing weather patterns, armed conflicts, and COVID-19 may bring the worst humanitarian crisis since World War II by the end of 2020. “[W]e could be facing multiple famines of biblical proportions within a short few months,” David Beasley...
Ukraine/Europe Wheat Weather Situation and How Climate Predict Out-Forecasted Standard Computer Models
There has been much talk about Ukraine wheat being under great stress from drought. In the map below, one can see the stress regions (red) as of a week ago. However, I have been in the camp for weeks that important rains will be coming to key wheat areas of Europe and...
Global Challenges Facing Farmers. Cocoa And Natural Gas Trade Ideas
There have been many firms that were touting drought for Ukraine wheat. Find out the real scoop here and some trade ideas in cocoa and natural gas
Earth Day: Not a Hippie Joke Any More
The news couldn’t be clearer this Earth Day. Fixing environmental issues can’t wait. Africa is facing drought, heavy flooding, and locusts, while Asia has changing rainfall patterns. The western United States and northern Mexico are in a megadrought. Scientists from...
The Historic Collapse In Crude Oil And What Will Drive Natural Gas Prices?
Low oil prices are affecting commodities such as corn, soybeans and even the natural gas market. Here is why
Oil Price Tsunami: How It Happened And The Impact on Corn Prices and Renewables
Why Did Oil Prices Go Below $0? The Tsunami in crude oil futures yesteday is one for the record books. Oil did something on Monday that made even market veterans shake their heads in wonder. The soon-to-expire May contract for West Texas Intermediate crude on the...
Rotation Of The Earth Suggests Weak El Niño Conditions Still Exist
Many forecast firms and models suggest La Niña type conditions this summer or fall that would of course have global impacts on many commodities. However, I believe that forecast models have been wrong and too bold predicting cooling ocean temperatures and a La Niña....
Weather Driving Wheat Market: Russia
Weather is becoming a key factor in the wheat market. Wheat prices were on a bit of a tear a couple weeks ago, This was due to worries about hoarding bread due to COVID-19. At the same time, Russia was considering cutting off exports. While demand has been increasing,...
What Commodity Traders Will Be Looking At In The Weeks Ahead
Weather will be the driving force in the grain market heading deeper into spring and summer. The cold, dry weather over the Midwest and Plains corn and wheat may be changing deeper into April
Decreased Air Pollution in Himalayas
The Himalayas seen April 4 from Pathankot, in India's Punjab. Photo: Twitter. Residents of northern India can now see the Himalayan snows, almost 100 miles away, thanks to decreased air pollution on the Indian sub-continent. “We can see the snow-covered mountains...
What Is The Outlook For Natural Gas Prices In 2020?
Why Jim Roemer Predicted A Warm Winter for Natural Gas Prices Last December One of our most accurate trade ideas this past season was selling natural gas. That warm winter projection was in our forecast for December. WeatherBell, and many other forecast firms, kept...
Big Time Spring Snows Coming to Western Ski Areas. Too Wet For Corn Planting?
Big times snow are coming to western ski resorts, while heavy rains may cause some concerns for corn planting if it continues past late April. What’s ahead?
Despite El Nino Conditions, A Developing Drought To West African Cocoa Eased
Cocoa prices soared last winter on hot, dry weather in west Africa and strong global demand but since then has collapsed due to CoronaVirus and rains in west Africa. Back in December, I alerted clients to a strong west African Harmattan wind. It had the potential to...
Why Have Soybean Prices Bucked The Bearish Trend of Most Commodities?
I've been fielding questions from around the world. A common one is "why have wheat and soybean prices been rallying in the face of the coronovirus pandemic?" Consequentially, financial worries have affected many markets. My March 9th report warned about a potential...
GOLD YET GLITTERS, DESPITE ITS RECENT PRICE DROP.
It all depends on how you look at price. Based on the London gold “afternoon fix” the all time high was on September 5th and 6th (both days) in 2011. That price was $1,896. In the recent run up, the highest London p.m. fix was $1,683.65 on March 6, 2020. When the...
The History Of Black Swan Events and Market Panics
We have deviated from our typical global weather reports for commodities and other markets, for the moment. The world panic over CoronaVirus has spared several major black swan events. As of this writing, crude oil prices had one of the largest one night drops in...
Wet Weather And Climate Change Could Be Responsible For The New Swarm Of Locusts
Locusts have plagued farmers for millennia. According to the Book of Exodus, around 1400 B.C. the Egyptians experienced an exceptionally unfortunate encounter with these ravenous pests when they struck as the eighth Biblical plague....
Predicting The Weather, Better, Months In Advance
Long-range weather forecasting and Jim Roemer
More Footprints Of Global Warming: Record Warmth in the US/Europe And Antarctica
Global Warming is only getting worse. Climate Change can be seen throughout the world.
Huge South American Crops: Coronavirus Could Pressure Grains and Financial Markets
Possible Sell-Off in Commodities and Equities Coming? Though it is not my job to normally discuss the stock market, it would. not surprise me in the weeks ahead that this virus could begin to "spook" the stock market. After such a major rally the last 10 years or so...
Big Snows Coming New England Ski Resorts, Heating Oil Prices and TradeWeather
One of the biggest weather related trades in commodities this winter has been short the natural gas market (UNG). However, selling heating oil against long gasoline (for protection) had resulted in a move of over $8,000 a contract the last weeks; until the last few...
Here comes the west African Harmattan Wind
Cocoa prices have seen a modest rally the last couple weeks, primarily due to increased Asian demand, and concerns about the crop situation in Ghana. While soil moisture conditions are ideal in west Africa, a developing dry, hot pattern has developed the last few...
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SPECIAL UPDATE—Will There Be Post July 4th Fireworks In Natural Gas, Grains and Cotton from Hot-Dry Weather?
With Covid19, China demand questions and various summer analog, most of my recommendations based on weather, ag commodities and natural gas are in options
Earth Burning Up, Again! Implications Of Ocean Temperatures On Summer Midwest Grain/Natural Gas Weather
Last Sunday night I had a strong feeling that perhaps corn prices were going to bottom with a potential Midwest July heat wave. In addition, the big short position natural gas prices caused many traders to run for the hills with extreme early July heat likely in several key US consuming regions
More About La Nina, The SOI Index, Best Weather Spider, Heat Ridge In Western Corn and Cotton Belt?
Most commodities continue to be in bear markets...
