Gold blogs with subscription only, others are free for everyone
Harvey likely to Reform in the Gulf; May Impact Texas, Gas and Oil Rigs
NATURAL GAS The natural gas market has shrugged off one of the coolest Augusts in recent memory because production is coming down. We are entering a shoulder month soon, when prices usually sell off. But an active hurricane season could put a...
How We Forecasted the Billion $ Iowa Rain and Excerpts from Our Climatelligence Newsletter
Great rains fell over drought stricken Iowa this morning. We mentioned this possibility in our newsletter Friday morning. Models did not pick up on the extent of these storms until Saturday. However, the general set up showed a strong potential...
Tropics Primed and Ready as We Enter Peak Hurricane Season
The National Hurricane Center is currently eyeing three tropical waves in the eastern Atlantic. These systems will bear watching over the next week to ten days as they all have a 60% chance of forming. This far out, it is tough to give any...
USDA Shocker for Grains
USDA Corn and Soybean Yields The USDA report last Friday shocked the grain market, with many analysts skeptical of the yield forecasts for corn and soybeans. The soybean estimate went up to 49.4 bu/ac, from 48 in July. Corn yield dropped only...
The Exciting World of Weather Derivatives as an Alternative Investment/Hedging Vehicle
Climate change and weather variations can cause literally billions of dollars of financial risk. This can impact every industry from agriculture and commodity trading to recreation and travel. There is a need for an alternative product, which can...
Growing Bull Market? Corn’s Midwest Drought and Coffee’s Pests
We are seeing one of the most volatile weather markets for corn and soybeans in recent memory. Cool temperatures are preventing an explosion in grain prices. The map below shows the continuation of a wide variety of crop conditions across the...
Super Typhoon; Climatech’s Cool August & Fall in Natural Gas and Grain Prices
The Indian monsoon is beginning to falter; the U.S. August weather is some of the coolest in recent memory and a super Typhoon has been blasting the Pacific. These may be signs, after all, that El Nino conditions are affecting parts of the globe....
Cocoa Prices Soar on Demand and Too Wet in West Africa
After a bottom in early July, cocoa prices have relentlessly pushed higher into the end of the month. Several factors contributed to this rise. As we mentioned in an earlier blog, parts of the Ivory Coast have received too much rainfall. The...
Weather in India & a fuel tax in Brazil: impacts on sugar
A complete turnaround in SE Asia weather has occured this summer compared to last year. Persistent El Niño conditions in 2015 and 2016 helped force below normal rainfall for India. A dry hot 2015/2016 winter in India furthered poor irrigation...
Weather Pattern Shift and Why Are Corn Prices Breaking Even with Some Drought Conditions
While a drought has affected the western 30% of the U.S. Corn Belt, a change in the weather pattern towards cooler weather comes at a critical time for Midwest crops. Why the collapse in corn prices? Even if it remains dry in some areas, with last...
Natural Gas Prices Beginning to Heat Up. Will it Last?
Increased shale production and just overall large supplies of natural gas have haunted this market for years. Natural gas supplies are expected to be around 2.977 trillion cubic feet. This is 9% below a year ago levels but 5% above the 5 year...
Major Iceberg Separates from Antarctic Peninsula
An iceberg roughly the size and shape of Delaware has broken off of the Larsen C ice shelf. These are not uncommon, but this one is one of the largest ever. Because of its size, it will have to be monitored and tracked to prevent disruption of...
USDA Report, High Midwest Dewpoints and Negative EPO Create Grain Market Volatility
JIM ROEMER ON DEWPOINTS -EPO and GRAINS We alerted “private” paying customers only, early Wednesday morning, about a potential change in the weather pattern for the Midwest drought as we head deeper into July. While our newsletter customers were...
Heat dome affecting the Midwest grain market
Grain markets are reacting again this week to poor weather outlooks for U.S. soybean, spring wheat and corn. Above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall are expected over the next 15 days (besides a decent rainfall chance...
Ample rainfall for Africa cocoa; great conditions or too much rain?
There have been conflicting news stories about the recent weather in West Africa cocoa areas. Nearly 50% of global cocoa production occurs in Ghana and the Ivory Coast. The crops are mainly grown in the area marked with a red circle below. Too...
Fireworks for Grain Prices, While Natural Gas is a Dud. Why?
Grain prices have taken off, fueled initially by the first bull market in wheat in years. A severe drought in spring wheat areas in North Dakota was the first sign of trouble. Problems in Canada, Australia, and Europe followed. Now, soybean...
Cotton prices crumble on weather, despite decent sale; dry Texas ahead?
Cotton prices dropped nearly 20% from May highs into late June. July futures prices spiked in May on tight supplies predicted in the USDA report. Great global crop conditions and strong speculative selling then spurred the current collapse....
Why the Free-Fall in Oil and Other Commodities?
Commodity prices are in a tail-spin, and global weather is not helping much. A rebound in sugar, cocoa and coffee production, plus a change in the pattern of much improved Midwest weather for corn and beans, has pressured most agricultural...


























