Straight from Doctor Weather’s mouth… you need to read this, if it affects you positively or negatively

by Scott Mathews
Editor-in-Chief and Co-Producer of Climatelligence
  • August 3, 2026
Source: Jim Roemer – Meteorologist – Commodity Trading Advisor – Principal, Best Weather Inc. & Climate Predict – Publisher, Weather Wealth Newsletter and Co-Producer of Climatelligence

Comments below are by Jim Roemer:

This is the most important time of the year for Midwest corn and soybeans. Throughout August, there will be several chances of rain, with no major sustained heat across the region, and the timing of showers will vary by location, which makes local observation valuable for crop planning.

I expect several opportunities for rain in key areas and have not trusted standard weather models, once again this summer. This pattern could influence yields differently by field, so monitoring local forecasts remains essential for farmers.

Rains, I predicted from last week, in Iowa this past Friday morning “against” standard weather models that changed a few days ago. Off-and-on chances for rain will dot key areas of the Midwest well into August. This is in contrast to some advisory firms and several meteorologists “out there” (who have never traded commodity futures).

See my videos from earlier this week.

Last week’s weather models for the period of early-to-mid August.

I disagreed two weeks ago when corn and soybean prices began soaring. To make forecasts, I use teleconnections, not standard weather models

Models a week or two ago (above) were dry for much of the corn belt. Even so, I did not get caught up in the bullish hype. I was not worried for 70% of the region, only the western areas.

Recently, I mentioned a ”ring of fire” (not the great Johnny Cash song). Please don’t get caught up in the baloney hype of lower US corn and soybean yields. Notice (below) how weather models changed. For early to mid-August, I predicted it would be wetter.

For paid Climatelligence subscribers: find our updates below and our weather Spider trade sentiment report we sent to Best Weather’s premium WeatherWealth Clients last week.

Comment from Scott Mathews:

Jim Roemer was most bullish toward cotton prices based on the charts, tight global inventories, and weather problems in Texas and Oklahoma.

He became bearish about soybeans (too early) two weeks ago, in the midst of hype over Midwest crop problems and higher crude prices, due to the war. Our Spider became more bearish 30-40¢ higher than it is now (between -7 to -10) several days ago.

Will coffee prices rally back if it gets wet? For that, please subscribe to our premium WeatherWealth newsletter with more frequent trading strategies: 

HERE  https://www.bestweatherinc.com/new-membership-options/

We appreciate your interest and look forward to helping you gain a better understanding of the powerful connection between weather and global commodity markets.

Thanks for your consideration in joining our followers.

Jim Roemer, Scott Mathews, and the Best Weather Team

Mr. Roemer owns Best Weather Inc., offering weather-related blogs for commodity traders and farmers. He is also a co-founder of Climate Predict, a detailed long-range global weather forecast tool. As one of the first meteorologists to become an NFA-registered Commodity Trading Advisor, he has worked with major hedge funds, Midwest farmers, and individual traders for over 35 years.

With a special emphasis on interpreting market psychology, and with short- and long-term trend forecasting in grains, softs, and the energy markets, he commands a unique standing among advisors in the commodity risk management industry, including corn, in the U.S. and globally.