I began telling clients “quite” early (June 23rd) about the possibility of some frost to Brazil coffee leaves and trees. A lot is still unknown about the effects of this past weekend’s frost. Often market moves on frost are psychology. Here is some food for thought, but most of my viewpoints are reserved for paid clients. If you are interested in finding out more, (as well as my feelings on how to trade coffee on the present light frost, and if it was really bad enough and future weather and fundamentals ahead), let me know if you are interested in subscribing to weekly blogs about global weather and commodities, please email me here at subscriptionsbestweather@gmail.com

The coldest temperatures were observed at the higher elevations of SE Minas Gerais, which is a bit unusual when light winds and high pressure is over head.
  1. The map at the top of the page shows that there was likely some frost damage to “part” of the crop in Southeast Minas Gerais and a few spotty areas of Sao Paulo and Parana
  2. In may take weeks for farmers and others to evaluate the damage, but the situation was likely far more benign than the major freezes of 1975, 1981 and 1994
  3. Warming temperatures this next week or so is not good for frost hit areas
  4. The weather pattern over Antarctica may be a good set up for potential, additional cold weather scares, later this winter in Brazil


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